Rational Decision Making Process
Well define the problem
Ask “why” of the initial problem statement. Then formulate a new problem statement based on the answer. Then
ask “why” again, and again until the essence of the “real” problem emerges. Restate (redefine) the problem in as many different ways as we can think of to broaden our perspective of a problem and to identify the central issues and alternative solutions increasing the chance to resolve the problem
Problem definition should not be too broad or too narrow
Problem definition should not be assumption driven
(Jones 1998, pp.63-67).
Problem definition should not limit the objectives and alternatives
Identify objectives and their attributes
Identify alternatives
Asking “Why?” takes you from means to ends;
asking “How?” will take you from ends back to means, leading you toward alternatives
(Hammond, 2002, p.50)
- Goodwill, P., and G. Wright. Decision Analysis for Management Judgment. 4th ed. Chichester: John Wiley and Sons, 2004.
- Hammond, J., Keeney R. Raiffa H. (2002). Smart Choices: A Practical Guide To Making Better Life Decisions. Broadway Books New York.
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Jones, Morgan D. 1998. The Thinker’s Toolkit: 14 Powerful Techniques for Problem Solving by Morgan D. Jones(1998-06-30). Crown Business.
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